View source for Talk:Tiny slimy cyst

I'm fairly certain that every type of marble can be obtained from this.  Also, this may just be strange RNG, but I seem be be getting higher-class marbles when I multi-use these things.  I've only ever gotten the brown marbles from single-use. --[[User:LegendaryBard|LegendaryBard]] 10:45, 31 May 2009 (UTC)

:It is probably strange RNG. My first marble was the [[beach ball marble]], and that was gotten from single-use.
:Perhaps the marble frequencies are related to their stage in marble creation?
:--[[User:Dfmchfhf|Dfmchfhf]] 15:58, 31 May 2009 (UTC)

::I agree that this would make sense: 50% drop green peawees, 25% brown crocks, 12.5% red chinas, and so on.  The spading numbers below are starting to look like that...--[[User:Parse|Parse]] 13:35, 2 June 2009 (UTC)

Shall we start collecting data? I'll assume for now that multi-use has no effect. --[[User:TheArchivist|TheArchivist]] 18:35, 31 May 2009 (UTC)

Why is it that only the reds are multi-useable?--[[User:Crae Z|Crae Z]] 23:18, 31 May 2009 (UTC)
*They all are...--[[User:Yungera|Yungera]] 23:29, 31 May 2009 (UTC)

I've received a Black Catseye from opening one, but have only received one so far.  I haven't combined any of them.  I think it's just very rare RNG.
--[[User:JoseCuervo|JoseCuervo]]

I got a Big Bumboozer from a tiny cyst today.  That was a nice surprise.  So, it's possible.--[[User:Quine|Quine]] 00:05, 5 June 2009 (UTC)

I would venture a guess that the probability of receiving a certain marble is half as likely as the the previous lower quality with greens starting at little more then 50%. This keeps things even with the power of two theme. 

That is:

(table merged with below) --{{User:Quietust/sig}} 04:34, 5 June 2009 (UTC)

--[[User:Demon llama|Demon llama]] 04:18, 5 June 2009 (UTC)

Added results from 72 cysts to below table. --[[User:Kareth|Kareth]] 19:14, 15 June 2009 (UTC)

Added another 23 cysts. --[[User:Kareth|Kareth]] 13:37, 19 June 2009 (UTC)

Added results from using a batch of 50 cysts. --[[User:Toyfulskerl|Toyfulskerl]] 04:50, 22 June 2009 (UTC)

Added 187 uses. [[User:Yvain|Yvain]] 10:16, 3 July 2009 (UTC)

50 from me.--[[User:Ryo Sangnoir|Ryo_Sangnoir]] 19:02, 27 July 2009 (UTC)

Added 47 more to bring us to an even 3000 uses.--[[User:SeeSaw|SeeSaw]] 20:10, 18 November 2009 (UTC)

==Item probabilities==
{| cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" border="1px"
|- style="background-color:#EFEFEF;"
! Outcome
! Total
! Percent
! Expected
|----
|[[green peawee marble]]
!1526
!{{#expr:100*(1526/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(1024/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[brown crock marble]]
!703
!{{#expr:100*(703/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(512/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[red China marble]]
!381
!{{#expr:100*(381/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(256/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[lemonade marble]]
!202
!{{#expr:100*(202/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(128/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[bumblebee marble]]
!100
!{{#expr:100*(100/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(64/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[jet bennie marble]]
!43
!{{#expr:100*(43/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(32/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[beige clambroth marble]]
!25
!{{#expr:100*(25/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(16/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[steely marble]]
!7
!{{#expr:100*(7/2953) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(8/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[beach ball marble]]
!9
!{{#expr:100*(9/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(4/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[black catseye marble]]
!3
!{{#expr:100*(3/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(2/2047) round 2}}
|----
|[[big bumboozer marble]]
!1
!{{#expr:100*(1/3000) round 2}}
!{{#expr:100*(1/2047) round 2}}
|---- style="height:30px"
|'''Total'''
!3000
!100
!100
|}