Talk:Tiny slimy cyst: Difference between revisions
imported>GoldS →Item probabilities: 108 more. |
imported>SeeSaw added more dat to bring it up to 3000 |
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Added 187 uses. [[User:Yvain|Yvain]] 10:16, 3 July 2009 (UTC) | Added 187 uses. [[User:Yvain|Yvain]] 10:16, 3 July 2009 (UTC) | ||
50 from me.--[[User:Ryo Sangnoir|Ryo_Sangnoir]] 19:02, 27 July 2009 (UTC) | |||
Added 47 more to bring us to an even 3000 uses.--[[User:SeeSaw|SeeSaw]] 20:10, 18 November 2009 (UTC) | |||
==Item probabilities== | ==Item probabilities== | ||
Line 42: | Line 46: | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[green peawee marble]] | |[[green peawee marble]] | ||
! | !1526 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(1526/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(1024/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[brown crock marble]] | |[[brown crock marble]] | ||
! | !703 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(703/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(512/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[red China marble]] | |[[red China marble]] | ||
! | !381 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(381/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(256/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[lemonade marble]] | |[[lemonade marble]] | ||
! | !202 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(202/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(128/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[bumblebee marble]] | |[[bumblebee marble]] | ||
! | !100 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(100/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(64/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[jet bennie marble]] | |[[jet bennie marble]] | ||
! | !43 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(43/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(32/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[beige clambroth marble]] | |[[beige clambroth marble]] | ||
! | !25 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(25/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(16/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[steely marble]] | |[[steely marble]] | ||
! | !7 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(7/2953) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(8/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[beach ball marble]] | |[[beach ball marble]] | ||
! | !9 | ||
!{{#expr:100*( | !{{#expr:100*(9/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(4/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[black catseye marble]] | |[[black catseye marble]] | ||
!2 | !3 | ||
!{{#expr:100*(2/ | !{{#expr:100*(3/3000) round 2}} | ||
!{{#expr:100*(2/2047) round 2}} | |||
|---- | |---- | ||
|[[big bumboozer marble]] | |[[big bumboozer marble]] | ||
!1 | !1 | ||
!{{#expr:100*(1/ | !{{#expr:100*(1/3000) round 2}} | ||
! | !{{#expr:100*(1/2047) round 2}} | ||
|---- style="height:30px" | |---- style="height:30px" | ||
|'''Total''' | |'''Total''' | ||
! | !3000 | ||
!100 | !100 | ||
!100 | !100 | ||
|} | |} |
Latest revision as of 20:10, 18 November 2009
I'm fairly certain that every type of marble can be obtained from this. Also, this may just be strange RNG, but I seem be be getting higher-class marbles when I multi-use these things. I've only ever gotten the brown marbles from single-use. --LegendaryBard 10:45, 31 May 2009 (UTC)
- It is probably strange RNG. My first marble was the beach ball marble, and that was gotten from single-use.
- Perhaps the marble frequencies are related to their stage in marble creation?
- --Dfmchfhf 15:58, 31 May 2009 (UTC)
- I agree that this would make sense: 50% drop green peawees, 25% brown crocks, 12.5% red chinas, and so on. The spading numbers below are starting to look like that...--Parse 13:35, 2 June 2009 (UTC)
Shall we start collecting data? I'll assume for now that multi-use has no effect. --TheArchivist 18:35, 31 May 2009 (UTC)
Why is it that only the reds are multi-useable?--Crae Z 23:18, 31 May 2009 (UTC)
- They all are...--Yungera 23:29, 31 May 2009 (UTC)
I've received a Black Catseye from opening one, but have only received one so far. I haven't combined any of them. I think it's just very rare RNG. --JoseCuervo
I got a Big Bumboozer from a tiny cyst today. That was a nice surprise. So, it's possible.--Quine 00:05, 5 June 2009 (UTC)
I would venture a guess that the probability of receiving a certain marble is half as likely as the the previous lower quality with greens starting at little more then 50%. This keeps things even with the power of two theme.
That is:
(table merged with below) --Quietust (t|c) 04:34, 5 June 2009 (UTC)
--Demon llama 04:18, 5 June 2009 (UTC)
Added results from 72 cysts to below table. --Kareth 19:14, 15 June 2009 (UTC)
Added another 23 cysts. --Kareth 13:37, 19 June 2009 (UTC)
Added results from using a batch of 50 cysts. --Toyfulskerl 04:50, 22 June 2009 (UTC)
Added 187 uses. Yvain 10:16, 3 July 2009 (UTC)
50 from me.--Ryo_Sangnoir 19:02, 27 July 2009 (UTC)
Added 47 more to bring us to an even 3000 uses.--SeeSaw 20:10, 18 November 2009 (UTC)
Item probabilities
Outcome | Total | Percent | Expected |
---|---|---|---|
green peawee marble | 1526 | 50.87 | 50.02 |
brown crock marble | 703 | 23.43 | 25.01 |
red China marble | 381 | 12.7 | 12.51 |
lemonade marble | 202 | 6.73 | 6.25 |
bumblebee marble | 100 | 3.33 | 3.13 |
jet bennie marble | 43 | 1.43 | 1.56 |
beige clambroth marble | 25 | 0.83 | 0.78 |
steely marble | 7 | 0.24 | 0.39 |
beach ball marble | 9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
black catseye marble | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
big bumboozer marble | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 |
Total | 3000 | 100 | 100 |