Hit Chance

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The first, most important, step towards rifling through the pockets of a corpse is creating a corpse with pockets to be rifled. To achieve this lofty goal, one must first hit one's opponent. Your chances to hit a given foe are determined by comparing your Attack to your opponent's Defense; the difference determines your chances to hit.

Your Attack is the buffed stat with which you are attacking: Muscle for melee weapons, Moxie for ranged weapons, and Mysticality if you're wielding a staff and have either Spirit of Rigatoni or special sauce glove.

Your Defense is equal to your Moxie. Monsters skip all of the Muscle/Mysticality/Moxie nonsense and have straight Attack and Defense stats.

Hit Chance Formula

Hit % =	9 + Attack - Defense	* (100 - Fumble%)
	18

For example: your Seal Clubber has 154 Muscle, lacks Eye of the Stoat, and is fighting something with 150 Defense.

Hit % =	9 + 154 - 150	* (100 - 4.545) = 68.939...%
	18

In other words: of the times you do not fumble, when your Attack equals your target's Defense there is a 1/2, or 50%, chance to hit. For every additional point of Attack you have, add 1/18, or 5.56%, to your non-fumble chances to hit. For every additional point of Defense your target has, subtract 1/18, or 5.56%, from your non-fumble chances to hit. Thus, having 9 more Attack than your opponent's Defense will ensure 100% accuracy (barring fumbles), and having 9 more Defense than your opponent's Attack ensures a 100% dodge rate (barring monster criticals).

Some fraction of all attack attempts will be critical hits, and the rest of the hits will be normal. Given a fumble rate of fumbrate and a critical rate of critrate, the final outcomes are:

fumble chance	=	fumbrate
normal hit	=	((9+attack-defense)/18)*(1-fumbrate)*(1-critrate)
critical hit	=	((9+attack-defense)/18)*(1-fumbrate) or (critrate), whichever is lesser
miss	= 1 -	((9+attack-defense)/18)*(1-fumbrate)

Monster Hit Chance

Monster hit chances are given by [1]

• Hit   %  = 87.5% * (6 + (Atk-Mox))/12 (minimum 0%, max 87.5%)
• Miss % = 87.5% * (6 - (Atk-Mox))/12 (minimum 0%, max 87.5%)
• Crit  % = 6  % flat
• Fumb% = 6.5% flat

Apart from the funny flavor text, a monster fumble is no different than an ordinary miss and a monster critical is no different than an ordinary hit.

Notes

The monster hit chance mechanic was quietly changed when monster criticals/fumbles were introduced.

See Also

• Critical Hit Chance
• Fumble Chance