Superlikely

A superlikely is a type of encounter most well known for being difficult to understand. The important part of a superlikely is that they have conditions on them (such as turns spent in a zone, having an effect active, being in BM, etc.) and the conditions for every superlikely in the zone are checked when you adventure there, before normal combats/noncombats are considered. If you meet all of the conditions for a superlikely adventure (and didn't get another encounter with higher precedence, only combats, noncombats, and hipster monsters are lower), you will get that adventure. If you meet all of the conditions for multiple superlikelies, the one you get is chosen randomly (1DN, where N=number of eligible superliklies: These include BM adventures).

An important point to consider is that not all encounters with conditions are superlikelies. Regular noncombat or combats can have conditions too. What distinguishes a superlikely is when the game checks to see if you'll get one.

For more on how superlikelies relate to other types of encounters, see Encounter.

Superlikely Adventures

Superlikely adventures are any adventure with conditions on it whose conditions are checked every time you adventure. Many of these adventures are unaffected by combat modifiers, but not all are. (See Jick's post in the notes for this definition.)

• All Bad Moon-specific adventures are superlikelies.
  • It is unknown what the frequencies of Bad Moon adventures are.
  • It is also unknown if all Bad Moon adventures share the same frequency.
• Most of the NS13 superlikelies are still being spaded.
• The following list is not all-inclusive. It only contains the superlikelies of most interest to an ascender. For a complete list, see here.

Location	Adventure Name	Description	Known Conditions
The Haunted Ballroom	We'll All Be Flat	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25% roll. This adventure is also affected by delay()
The Haunted Billiards Room	That's your cue	Receive pool cue	25% roll. Must not have a pool cue in inventory.
The Enormous Greater-Than Sign	The Oracle Will See You Now	Grants access to The Dungeons of Doom	25% roll. Only superlikely with Plus sign and Teleportitis.
The Hidden Temple	At Least It's Not Full Of Trash	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	Delay(). 25% roll. Must have read Your father's MacGuffin diary.
The Hidden Temple	Dvorak's Revenge	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25% roll. Must have read Your father's MacGuffin diary.
The Hidden Temple	No Visible Means of Support	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25% roll. Must have read Your father's MacGuffin diary.
The Palindome	Rod Nevada, Vendor	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25% roll. Must have read Your father's MacGuffin diary.
The Palindome	Last Egg Gets Al	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25% roll. Must have read Your father's MacGuffin diary.
The Palindome	Do Geese See God?	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25% roll. Must have read Your father's MacGuffin diary.
Laboratory	Mr. Alarm	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25%? roll, affected by combat modifiers. Must have completed Drawn Onward.
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Let's Make a Deal!	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	33% roll.
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	A Sietch in Time	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
An Oasis	All Across the Sands	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	No Colors Anymore	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Still No Colors Anymore	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Walk Without Rhythm	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Walk Without Rhythm 2	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
An Oasis	Blowin' in the Wind (page 1)	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
An Oasis	Blowin' in the Wind (page 2)	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
An Oasis	Blowin' in the Wind (pages 3-15)	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	The Sleeper Has Awakened	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	?% roll.
The Black Forest	A Man in Black	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	25% roll.
The Worm Wood	All non-combats		Always occurs with 7-9 adventures of Absinthe-Minded, 4-5 adventures of Absinthe-Minded, or 1 adventure of Absinthe-Minded; see the Worm Wood Done Quickly
Outskirts of Cobb's Knob	Code Red	Receive Knob Goblin encryption key	Always occurs after 10 adventures.
The Defiled Alcove	Doublewide	conjoined zmombie, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Delay(). Always occurs within 9-11 adventures (including delay()), but only if you've received Turn Your Head and Coffin already
The Defiled Niche	Lich in the Niche	gargantulihc, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Delay(). Always occurs within 9-11 adventures (including delay()), but only if you've received Urning Your Keep already
The Defiled Cranny	Lunchtime	huge ghuol, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Delay(). Always occurs within 9-11 adventures (including delay()), but only if you've received Go Slow Past the Drawers already
Laboratory	Mega Gem	Get the Mega Gem	Always occurs first adventure after Mr. Alarm with wet stunt nut stew in inventory
The Defiled Nook	Pileup	giant skeelton, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Delay(). Always occurs within 9-11 adventures (including delay()), but only if you've received Skull, Skull, Skull already
The Haunted Conservatory	Polo Tombstone	Receive Spookyraven gallery key	Delay(). Always occurs within roughly 7-9 adventures (including delay()), but only if you've read Chapter 2 of The Fall of the House of Spookyraven in The Haunted Library already
The Haunted Pantry	The Manor in Which You're Accustomed	Unlocks Spookyraven Manor	Delay(). Always occurs within 8-10 adventures, including delay().
Degrassi Knoll	Screwdriver, wider than a mile.	Receive rusty screwdriver	25% roll
The Sleazy Back Alley	They Tried and Pailed	Receive pail of pretentious paint	25% roll
Outskirts of Cobb's Knob	Brushed off...	Receive pretentious paintbrush	25% roll
The Haunted Pantry	Shoe of Many Colors	Receive pretentious palette	25% roll
Pandamonium Slums	Highway to Hey Deze	Receive Hey Deze map	25% roll

Notes

• The most up-to-date data on superlikelies/non-combats and delays can be found on this post on the AllianceFromHell forums.
• Jick confirmed the existence of superlikelies in this post.