Superlikely

A superlikely is a type of encounter most well known for being difficult to understand. The important part of a superlikely is that they have conditions on them (such as turns spent in a zone, having an effect active, being in BM, etc.) and the conditions for every superlikely in the zone are checked when you adventure there, before normal combats/noncombats are considered. If you meet all of the conditions for a superlikely adventure (and didn't get another encounter with higher precedence, only combats, noncombats, and hipster monsters are lower), you will get that adventure. If you meet all of the conditions for multiple superlikelies, a 1DN is rolled to decide which you get (these include BM adventures).

An important point to consider is that not all encounters with conditions are superlikelies. Regular noncombat or combats can have conditions too. What distinguishes a superlikely is when the game checks to see if you'll get one.

Superlikely Adventures

Superlikely adventures are any adventure with conditions on it whose conditions are checked every time you adventure. Many of these adventures are unaffected by combat modifiers, but not all are. (See Jick's post in the notes for this definition.)

• All Bad Moon-specific adventures are superlikelies.
  • It is unknown what the frequencies of Bad Moon adventures are.
  • It is also unknown if all Bad Moon adventures share the same frequency.
• Most of the NS13 superlikelies are still being spaded.

Location	Adventure Name	Frequency	Description	Notes
The Haunted Ballroom	We'll All Be Flat	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	This adventure is also affected by delay()
The Spooky Forest	Arboreal Respite	15%?	This is an explorable choice adventure	This becomes a regular noncombat after it is received once
The Haunted Billiards Room	That's your cue	25%	Receive pool cue
The Enormous Greater-Than Sign	The Oracle Will See You Now	33%	Grants access to The Dungeons of Doom	Only superlikely with Plus sign and Teleportitis.
The Hidden Temple	At Least It's Not Full Of Trash	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Hidden Temple	Dvorak's Revenge	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Hidden Temple	No Visible Means of Support	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Palindome	Rod Nevada, Vendor	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Palindome	Last Egg Gets Al	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Palindome	Do Geese See God?	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
Laboratory	Mr. Alarm	75%?	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin	Affected by combat modifiers
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Let's Make a Deal!	33%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	A Sietch in Time	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
An Oasis	All Across the Sands	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	No Colors Anymore	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Still No Colors Anymore	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Walk Without Rhythm	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	Walk Without Rhythm 2	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
An Oasis	Blowin' in the Wind (page 1)	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
An Oasis	Blowin' in the Wind (page 2)	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
An Oasis	Blowin' in the Wind (pages 3-15)	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Arid, Extra-Dry Desert	The Sleeper Has Awakened	?%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin
The Black Forest	A Man in Black	25%	Part of the Quest for the Holy MacGuffin

The following are believed to be superlikelies:

Location	Adventure Name	Frequency	Description
Degrassi Knoll	Screwdriver, wider than a mile.	25%	Receive rusty screwdriver
The Sleazy Back Alley	They Tried and Pailed	25%	Receive pail of pretentious paint
Outskirts of Cobb's Knob	Brushed off...	25%	Receive pretentious paintbrush
The Haunted Pantry	Shoe of Many Colors	25%	Receive pretentious palette
The Sleazy Back Alley	Spirit of the Slug Lord	25%	Receive the Slug Lord's map
The Haunted Pantry	Spirit of the Dolphin King	25%	Receive Dolphin King's map
Outskirts of Cobb's Knob	The Ghost of Dr. Hobo Jones	25%	Receive Dr. Hobo's map
The Deep Fat Friars' Gate	Highway to Hey Deze	25%	Receive Hey Deze map

Scheduled Quest Adventures

There's no such thing as scheduled encounters. They're just superlikelies with a condition that is based on turns spent in the zone (or turns spent total). Here's a list of those.

Location	Adventure Name	Description	Occurrence
The Worm Wood	All non-combats		Always occurs with 7-9 adventures of Absinthe-Minded, 4-5 adventures of Absinthe-Minded, or 1 adventure of Absinthe-Minded; see the Worm Wood Done Quickly
Outskirts of Cobb's Knob	Code Red	Receive Knob Goblin encryption key	Always occurs within 3-15 adventures
The Defiled Alcove	Doublewide	conjoined zmombie, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Always occurs within 4-15 adventures, but only if you've received Turn Your Head and Coffin already
The Defiled Niche	Lich in the Niche	gargantulihc, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Always occurs within 4-15 adventures, but only if you've received Urning Your Keep already
The Defiled Cranny	Lunchtime	huge ghuol, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Always occurs within 4-15 adventures, but only if you've received Go Slow Past the Drawers already
Laboratory	Mega Gem	Get the Mega Gem	Always occurs first adventure after Mr. Alarm with wet stunt nut stew in inventory
The Defiled Nook	Pileup	giant skeelton, one of The Cyrpt bosses	Always occurs within 4-15 adventures, but only if you've received Skull, Skull, Skull already
The Haunted Conservatory	Polo Tombstone	Receive Spookyraven gallery key	Always occurs within roughly 2-13 adventures, but only if you've read Chapter 2 of The Fall of the House of Spookyraven in The Haunted Library already
The Haunted Pantry	The Manor in Which You're Accustomed	Unlocks Spookyraven Manor	Always occurs within 3-14 adventures

Notes

• The most up-to-date data on superlikelies/scheduled adventures/non-combats and delays can be found on this post on the AllianceFromHell forums.
• Jick confirmed the existence of superlikelies in this post.